A. (Ade) Febriady, MSc

PhD research projects ("Essays on Development Economics")

1. The Long Shadow: Childhood Poverty and the Returns to Education (with Agnieszka Postepska and Viola Angelini)
Examines how childhood poverty shapes the returns to education among Indonesian wage workers, using longitudinal data and a control-function estimator identified through conditional heteroskedasticity. We find that individuals who experienced childhood poverty earn returns approximately 78 percent lower than their non-poor peers. Circulated as GLO Discussion Paper No. 1731 (2026).

2. The Cold Shock: Poverty Impacts of Extreme Winter in Mongolia (with Lydia Kim)
Provides the first household-panel estimates of the poverty effects of a cold-extreme climate shock, studying Mongolia's 2023/24 dzud — an extreme winter that killed over eight million livestock. Serves as a background paper for the World Bank 2026 Mongolia Poverty Assessment. Work in progress.

3. In-Utero Exposure to Mongolia's Dzud and Long-Term Labor Market Outcomes
A causal mediation analysis of how prenatal exposure to extreme winter shocks affects long-term labor market outcomes through educational attainment. Design stage.

Applied policy projects (The World Bank)

Mongolia Poverty Assessment 2026 — Background study on the welfare impacts of harsh-winter (dzud) shocks; earlier contributions to the 2022 poverty estimation and consumption-aggregate methodology.

Indonesia High-Frequency Monitoring of COVID-19 Impacts (2020–2023) — A nationwide phone-survey panel tracking household welfare through the pandemic across eight rounds. Contributed to instrument design, analysis, fieldwork coordination, and public release of the microdata in the World Bank Microdata Library.

Welfare Tracking in the Aftermath of Crisis (Central Sulawesi) — A hybrid face-to-face and phone panel tracking household recovery over five rounds after the 2018 earthquake and tsunami. Contributed to survey design, management, and analysis.