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OnderzoekUrban and Regional Studies InstituteResearch projectsFuture Mortality

Publications

Published

De Beer, J., A. Bardoutsos, F.Janssen (2017) Maximum human life span will increase to 125 years. Nature 546 (7660), E16-E20. doi: 10.1038/nature22792  http://www.nature.com/nature/journal/v546/n7660/full/nature22792.html?WT.ec_id=NATURE-20170629&spMailingID=54382085&spUserID=MjU2NjEwNjUxOTA1S0&spJobID=1184869696&spReportId=MTE4NDg2OTY5NgS2

De Beer J. & F. Janssen (2017) Wordt het record van de oudste Nederlander snel gebroken? Demos 33(7). http://nidi.nl/nl/demos/2017/preview/artikel

Bijlsma MJ, Daniel RM, Janssen F, De Stavola BL (2017) An assessment and extension of the mechanism-based approach to the identification of age-period-cohort models. Demography 54(2): 721-743. doi:10.1007/s13524-017-0562-6. https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s13524-017-0562-6

Janssen, F. (2017) Toekomstige levensverwachting van 90 jaar niet opzienbarend. Demos 33(3), 4-6. http://www.nidi.nl/nl/demos/2017/03/02

Trias-Llimós, S., M. Bijlsma & F. Janssen (2017) The role of birth cohorts in long-term trends in liver cirrhosis mortality across eight European countries. Addiction 112(2), 250-258. doi: 10.1111/add.13614 http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/add.13614/abstract

Janssen, F . (2017), Coherent mortality projections for the Netherlands taking into account mortality delay and smoking. Workshop abstract. In:  International Mortality and Longevity Symposium 2016 Report, p. 9. https://www.actuaries.org.uk/learn-and-develop/research-and-knowledge/mortality-research-hub/mortality-and-longevity-events

De Beer J. & F. Janssen (2016). A new parametric model to assess delay and compression of mortality. Population Health Metrics 14(46): 1-21. DOI 10.1186/s12963-016-0113-1. http://rdcu.be/m9I0

Muszyńska, M. and F. Janssen (2016), The concept of the Equivalent Length of Life for quantifying differences in age-at-death distributions across countries. Genus 72(6), 1-14. doi: 10.1186/s41118-016-0011-1. https://link.springer.com/article/10.1186/s41118-016-0011-1

Trias-Llimós, S., Muszyńska, M. M., Cámara, A. D., & Janssen, F. (2017). Smoking cessation among European older adults: the contributions of marital and employment transitions by gender. European Journal of Ageing, 14(2), 189. https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s10433-016-0401-4

Janssen F., van den Hende A. , de Beer, J.  & L.J.G. van Wissen (2016) Sigma and beta convergence in regional mortality. A case study for the Netherlands. Demographic Research 35(4): 81-116. DOI: 10.4054/DemRes.2016.35.4. http://www.demographic-research.org/Volumes/Vol35/4/

F. Janssen and F. van Poppel (2016) Roken veroorzaakte vroeger grote verschillen in levensverwachting. Demos 32(6), 4-6. http://www.nidi.nl/shared/content/demos/2016/demos-32-06-janssen.pdf

Bijlsma MJ, Daniel RM, Janssen F, De Stavola BL (2016) An assessment and extension of the mechanism-based approach to the identification of age-period-cohort models. MPIDR Working Paper WP-2016-005, 44 pages.

Vidra N., MJ Bijlsma, F. Janssen (2016) Past trends of obesity-attributable mortality in The Netherlands; An application of age-period -cohort analysis. Clinical Nutrition ESPEN 13, p. e66. DOI: 10.1016/j.clnesp.2016.03.048 (abstract)

Stoeldraijer, L., F. Janssen and J. de Beer (2016), Sterke stijging van de kans om 100 te worden. Demos 32(5), 2. http://www.nidi.nl/shared/content/demos/2016/demos-32-05-stoeldraijer.pdf

Janssen, F. & J. De Beer (2016) Projecting future mortality in the Netherlands taking into account mortality delay and smoking. Working paper 18. Joint Eurostat/UNECE Work Session on Demographic Projections. https://www.unece.org/fileadmin/DAM/stats/documents/ece/ces/ge.11/2016/WP18.pdf

Van Poppel, F. & F. Janssen (2016) The mortality gender gap in the Netherlands 1850-2000. In: M. Dinges & A. Weigl (eds.) Gender-Specific Life Expectancy in Europe 1950-2010. MedGG Beihefte. TN 11258, p. 111-130. Franz Steiner Verlag.

Janssen, F. & F. van Poppel (2015) The adoption of smoking and its effect on the mortality gender gap in the Netherlands, a historical perspective. BioMed Research International 370274, 1-12. http://www.hindawi.com/journals/bmri/2015/370274/

De Beer, J. & F. Janssen (2014) The NIDI mortality model. A new model to describe the age pattern of mortality. NIDI Working Paper no. 2014/7. The Hague: NIDI.

Janssen, F. (2014) Voorspelling van levensverwachting kan beter. Tijdschrift voor Gerontologie en Geriatrie 45(4), 183-187.

Submitted

Trias-Llimós, S., P. Martikainen, P. Mäkelä & F. Janssen. Comparison of different approaches for estimating age-specific alcohol-attributable mortality: The case of France and Finland in 2010

Janssen F., & J. de Beer Transition from compression to delay of mortality. The contribution of delay and compression at young, adult, and old ages to the increase in life expectancy

Vidra, N., M.J. Bijlsma, S. Trias Llimos & F. Janssen. Past trends of obesity attributable mortality in Europe; an application of Age-Period-Cohort analysis.

Trias-Llimós, S., A.E. Kunst, D. Jasilionis & F. Janssen. The contribution of alcohol to the East-West life expectancy gap in Europe from 1990 onward

Vidra, N., M.J. Bijlsma & F. Janssen. Impact of different estimation methods on obesity-attributable mortality levels and trends: the case of the Netherlands.

Stoeldraijer, L., C. van Duin, L.J.G. van Wissen & F. Janssen. An evaluation of methods to coherently forecast mortality.

In preparation

De Beer, J., A. Bardoutsos & F. Janssen. Projecting delay and compression of mortality.

Rau, R., C. Bohk & F. Janssen. Current challenges of mortality forecasting.

F. Janssen, A. Bardoutsos & J. de Beer. Coherent mortality projections for the Netherlands taking into account mortality delay and smoking

Vidra, N., S. Trias Llimos & F. Janssen. The role of obesity in explaining convergence in mortality across European countries.

Trias-Llimós & F. Janssen. The contribution of alcohol-related mortality to the gender gap in life expectancy in 8/9 Eastern European countries

Stoeldraijer, L., C. van Duin, L.J.G. van Wissen & F. Janssen. Comparing strategies for matching mortality forecasts to the most recently observed data. What is the best trade-off between short-term accuracy and long-term robustness?

Laatst gewijzigd:30 juni 2017 08:53