Publication

Warming springs and habitat alteration interact to impact timing of breeding and population dynamics in a migratory bird

Kentie, R., Coulson, T., Hooijmeijer, J. C. E. W., Howison, R. A., Loonstra, A. H. J., Verhoeven, M. A., Both, C. & Piersma, T., Nov-2018, In : Global Change Biology. p. 5292-5303 12 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleAcademicpeer-review

APA

Kentie, R., Coulson, T., Hooijmeijer, J. C. E. W., Howison, R. A., Loonstra, A. H. J., Verhoeven, M. A., ... Piersma, T. (2018). Warming springs and habitat alteration interact to impact timing of breeding and population dynamics in a migratory bird. Global Change Biology, 5292-5303. https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.14406

Author

Kentie, Rosemarie ; Coulson, Tim ; Hooijmeijer, Jos C E W ; Howison, Ruth A ; Loonstra, A H Jelle ; Verhoeven, Mo A ; Both, Christiaan ; Piersma, Theunis. / Warming springs and habitat alteration interact to impact timing of breeding and population dynamics in a migratory bird. In: Global Change Biology. 2018 ; pp. 5292-5303.

Harvard

Kentie, R, Coulson, T, Hooijmeijer, JCEW, Howison, RA, Loonstra, AHJ, Verhoeven, MA, Both, C & Piersma, T 2018, 'Warming springs and habitat alteration interact to impact timing of breeding and population dynamics in a migratory bird', Global Change Biology, pp. 5292-5303. https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.14406

Standard

Warming springs and habitat alteration interact to impact timing of breeding and population dynamics in a migratory bird. / Kentie, Rosemarie; Coulson, Tim; Hooijmeijer, Jos C E W; Howison, Ruth A; Loonstra, A H Jelle; Verhoeven, Mo A; Both, Christiaan; Piersma, Theunis.

In: Global Change Biology, 11.2018, p. 5292-5303.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleAcademicpeer-review

Vancouver

Kentie R, Coulson T, Hooijmeijer JCEW, Howison RA, Loonstra AHJ, Verhoeven MA et al. Warming springs and habitat alteration interact to impact timing of breeding and population dynamics in a migratory bird. Global Change Biology. 2018 Nov;5292-5303. https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.14406


BibTeX

@article{497ff648db9345db9c2c5620789adf26,
title = "Warming springs and habitat alteration interact to impact timing of breeding and population dynamics in a migratory bird",
abstract = "In seasonal environments, increasing spring temperatures lead many taxa to advance the timing of reproduction. Species that do not may suffer lower fitness. We investigated why black-tailed godwits (Limosa limosa limosa), a ground-breeding agricultural grassland shorebird, have not advanced timing of reproduction during the last three decades in the face of climate change and human-induced habitat degradation. We used data from an 11-year field study to parameterize an Integral Projection Model to predict how spring temperature and habitat quality simultaneously influence the timing of reproduction and population dynamics. We found apparent selection for earlier laying, but not a correlation between the laying dates of parents and their offspring. Nevertheless, in warmer springs, laying dates of adults show a stronger positive correlation with laying date in previous springs than in cooler ones, and this leads us to predict a slight advance in the timing of reproduction if spring temperatures continue to increase. We also show that only in landscapes with low agricultural activity, the population can continue to act as a source. This study shows how climate change and declining habitat quality may enhance extinction risk.",
keywords = "agricultural intensification, climate change, Integral Projection Model, phenology, shorebirds, source and sink, BLACK-TAILED GODWITS, LIMOSA-LIMOSA-LIMOSA, LAPWINGS VANELLUS-VANELLUS, CLIMATE-CHANGE, L. LIMOSA, NETHERLANDS, SURVIVAL, MODELS, MANAGEMENT, ARRIVAL",
author = "Rosemarie Kentie and Tim Coulson and Hooijmeijer, {Jos C E W} and Howison, {Ruth A} and Loonstra, {A H Jelle} and Verhoeven, {Mo A} and Christiaan Both and Theunis Piersma",
note = "{\circledC} 2018 The Authors. Global Change Biology Published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd.",
year = "2018",
month = "11",
doi = "10.1111/gcb.14406",
language = "English",
pages = "5292--5303",
journal = "Global Change Biology",
issn = "1365-2486",
publisher = "Wiley",

}

RIS

TY - JOUR

T1 - Warming springs and habitat alteration interact to impact timing of breeding and population dynamics in a migratory bird

AU - Kentie, Rosemarie

AU - Coulson, Tim

AU - Hooijmeijer, Jos C E W

AU - Howison, Ruth A

AU - Loonstra, A H Jelle

AU - Verhoeven, Mo A

AU - Both, Christiaan

AU - Piersma, Theunis

N1 - © 2018 The Authors. Global Change Biology Published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd.

PY - 2018/11

Y1 - 2018/11

N2 - In seasonal environments, increasing spring temperatures lead many taxa to advance the timing of reproduction. Species that do not may suffer lower fitness. We investigated why black-tailed godwits (Limosa limosa limosa), a ground-breeding agricultural grassland shorebird, have not advanced timing of reproduction during the last three decades in the face of climate change and human-induced habitat degradation. We used data from an 11-year field study to parameterize an Integral Projection Model to predict how spring temperature and habitat quality simultaneously influence the timing of reproduction and population dynamics. We found apparent selection for earlier laying, but not a correlation between the laying dates of parents and their offspring. Nevertheless, in warmer springs, laying dates of adults show a stronger positive correlation with laying date in previous springs than in cooler ones, and this leads us to predict a slight advance in the timing of reproduction if spring temperatures continue to increase. We also show that only in landscapes with low agricultural activity, the population can continue to act as a source. This study shows how climate change and declining habitat quality may enhance extinction risk.

AB - In seasonal environments, increasing spring temperatures lead many taxa to advance the timing of reproduction. Species that do not may suffer lower fitness. We investigated why black-tailed godwits (Limosa limosa limosa), a ground-breeding agricultural grassland shorebird, have not advanced timing of reproduction during the last three decades in the face of climate change and human-induced habitat degradation. We used data from an 11-year field study to parameterize an Integral Projection Model to predict how spring temperature and habitat quality simultaneously influence the timing of reproduction and population dynamics. We found apparent selection for earlier laying, but not a correlation between the laying dates of parents and their offspring. Nevertheless, in warmer springs, laying dates of adults show a stronger positive correlation with laying date in previous springs than in cooler ones, and this leads us to predict a slight advance in the timing of reproduction if spring temperatures continue to increase. We also show that only in landscapes with low agricultural activity, the population can continue to act as a source. This study shows how climate change and declining habitat quality may enhance extinction risk.

KW - agricultural intensification

KW - climate change

KW - Integral Projection Model

KW - phenology

KW - shorebirds

KW - source and sink

KW - BLACK-TAILED GODWITS

KW - LIMOSA-LIMOSA-LIMOSA

KW - LAPWINGS VANELLUS-VANELLUS

KW - CLIMATE-CHANGE

KW - L. LIMOSA

KW - NETHERLANDS

KW - SURVIVAL

KW - MODELS

KW - MANAGEMENT

KW - ARRIVAL

U2 - 10.1111/gcb.14406

DO - 10.1111/gcb.14406

M3 - Article

SP - 5292

EP - 5303

JO - Global Change Biology

JF - Global Change Biology

SN - 1365-2486

ER -

ID: 64530888