Phase out tariffs, phase in trade?Besedeš, T., Kohl, T. & Lake, J., Apr-2019, CESifo, 63 p. (CESifo Working Paper Series; no. 7614).
Research output: Working paper › Academic
What causes U.S. trade with Mexico and Canada to continue growing faster, for up to a decade, relative to countries with which the U.S. does not have a free trade agreement? Baier and Bergstrand (2007) suggest that tariff phase-out and delayed pass-through of tariffs into import prices could cause such prolonged differential import growth. We examine how tariff cuts negotiated under the Canada-US Free Trade Agreement and the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) affected U.S. import growth in 1989-2016 using detailed product-level data on tariff phase-out in the original treaties. We find essentially no evidence for the tariff phase-out or delayed pass through explanations. Rather, we find evidence for an important role played by NAFTA tariff cuts reducing the impacts of frictions at various extensive margins.
|Number of pages||63|
|Publication status||Published - Apr-2019|
|Name||CESifo Working Paper Series|