Publication

Market fundamentals, competition and natural-gas prices

Hulshof, D., van der Maat, J-P. & Mulder, M., Jun-2016, In : Energy Policy. 94, p. 480-491 12 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleAcademicpeer-review

APA

Hulshof, D., van der Maat, J-P., & Mulder, M. (2016). Market fundamentals, competition and natural-gas prices. Energy Policy, 94, 480-491. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enpol.2015.12.016

Author

Hulshof, Daan ; van der Maat, Jan-Pieter ; Mulder, Machiel. / Market fundamentals, competition and natural-gas prices. In: Energy Policy. 2016 ; Vol. 94. pp. 480-491.

Harvard

Hulshof, D, van der Maat, J-P & Mulder, M 2016, 'Market fundamentals, competition and natural-gas prices', Energy Policy, vol. 94, pp. 480-491. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enpol.2015.12.016

Standard

Market fundamentals, competition and natural-gas prices. / Hulshof, Daan; van der Maat, Jan-Pieter; Mulder, Machiel.

In: Energy Policy, Vol. 94, 06.2016, p. 480-491.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleAcademicpeer-review

Vancouver

Hulshof D, van der Maat J-P, Mulder M. Market fundamentals, competition and natural-gas prices. Energy Policy. 2016 Jun;94:480-491. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enpol.2015.12.016


BibTeX

@article{8f8081c2a4f24d60814bec3da3fd7cea,
title = "Market fundamentals, competition and natural-gas prices",
abstract = "After the liberalisation of the gas industry, trading hubs have emerged in Europe. Although these hubs appear to be liquid market places fostering gas-to-gas competition, the efficiency of the gas market remains a topic of interest as a fair share of gas is still traded through long-term contracts with prices linked to the oil price while the number of gas suppliers to the European market is limited. In order to assess the efficiency of the gas market, we analyse the day-ahead spot price at the Dutch gas hub over the period 2011-2014. We find that the oil price had a small positive impact on the gas price. Changes in the concentration on the supply side did not affect the movement in gas prices. The availability of gas in storages and the outside temperature negatively influenced the gas price. We also find that the gas price was related to the production of wind electricity. Overall, we conclude that the day-ahead gas prices are predominantly determined by gas-market fundamentals. Policies to further integrate gas markets within Europe may extend this gas-to-gas competition to a larger region.",
keywords = "Natural gas prices, Competition, time-series analysis, STORAGE, DYNAMICS",
author = "Daan Hulshof and {van der Maat}, Jan-Pieter and Machiel Mulder",
year = "2016",
month = "6",
doi = "10.1016/j.enpol.2015.12.016",
language = "English",
volume = "94",
pages = "480--491",
journal = "Energy Policy",
issn = "0301-4215",
publisher = "ELSEVIER SCI LTD",

}

RIS

TY - JOUR

T1 - Market fundamentals, competition and natural-gas prices

AU - Hulshof, Daan

AU - van der Maat, Jan-Pieter

AU - Mulder, Machiel

PY - 2016/6

Y1 - 2016/6

N2 - After the liberalisation of the gas industry, trading hubs have emerged in Europe. Although these hubs appear to be liquid market places fostering gas-to-gas competition, the efficiency of the gas market remains a topic of interest as a fair share of gas is still traded through long-term contracts with prices linked to the oil price while the number of gas suppliers to the European market is limited. In order to assess the efficiency of the gas market, we analyse the day-ahead spot price at the Dutch gas hub over the period 2011-2014. We find that the oil price had a small positive impact on the gas price. Changes in the concentration on the supply side did not affect the movement in gas prices. The availability of gas in storages and the outside temperature negatively influenced the gas price. We also find that the gas price was related to the production of wind electricity. Overall, we conclude that the day-ahead gas prices are predominantly determined by gas-market fundamentals. Policies to further integrate gas markets within Europe may extend this gas-to-gas competition to a larger region.

AB - After the liberalisation of the gas industry, trading hubs have emerged in Europe. Although these hubs appear to be liquid market places fostering gas-to-gas competition, the efficiency of the gas market remains a topic of interest as a fair share of gas is still traded through long-term contracts with prices linked to the oil price while the number of gas suppliers to the European market is limited. In order to assess the efficiency of the gas market, we analyse the day-ahead spot price at the Dutch gas hub over the period 2011-2014. We find that the oil price had a small positive impact on the gas price. Changes in the concentration on the supply side did not affect the movement in gas prices. The availability of gas in storages and the outside temperature negatively influenced the gas price. We also find that the gas price was related to the production of wind electricity. Overall, we conclude that the day-ahead gas prices are predominantly determined by gas-market fundamentals. Policies to further integrate gas markets within Europe may extend this gas-to-gas competition to a larger region.

KW - Natural gas prices

KW - Competition

KW - time-series analysis

KW - STORAGE

KW - DYNAMICS

U2 - 10.1016/j.enpol.2015.12.016

DO - 10.1016/j.enpol.2015.12.016

M3 - Article

VL - 94

SP - 480

EP - 491

JO - Energy Policy

JF - Energy Policy

SN - 0301-4215

ER -

ID: 26760652